Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.880326 3.081242 3.296382 3.545143 3.826453 4.136632 4.507199
2025-12-14 2.511391 2.772834 3.068290 3.431051 3.870396 4.393427 5.076249
2025-12-21 2.337083 2.634716 2.983475 3.430016 3.998570 4.716410 5.723779
2025-12-28 2.196538 2.515228 2.899071 3.406886 4.080088 4.973039 6.308641
2026-01-04 2.047573 2.370416 2.766897 3.303982 4.037595 5.048072 6.638235
2026-01-11 1.961629 2.295934 2.714642 3.295805 4.114984 5.290292 7.248604
2026-01-18 1.915270 2.266981 2.716528 3.356686 4.290123 5.691446 8.186530
2026-01-25 2.010441 2.425425 2.974698 3.793026 5.062366 7.140356 11.380297
2026-02-01 1.891457 2.291797 2.825956 3.630241 4.896514 7.014885 11.496726
2026-02-08 1.776661 2.158822 2.671417 3.448654 4.684547 6.782546 11.333610
2026-02-15 1.715204 2.095697 2.611332 3.404028 4.689634 6.937457 12.073112
2026-02-22 1.652237 2.027697 2.540732 3.338280 4.652866 7.008800 12.638296
2026-03-01 1.571538 1.937919 2.443067 3.238031 4.572141 7.030772 13.222249
2026-03-08 1.495070 1.851771 2.347678 3.137064 4.484490 7.035273 13.804221
2026-03-15 1.453748 1.812622 2.317879 3.136359 4.570853 7.405301 15.616434
2026-03-22 1.410739 1.768859 2.278448 3.116383 4.619077 7.704097 17.416259
2026-03-29 1.352996 1.701567 2.200425 3.027420 4.529373 7.679966 18.096787
2026-04-05 1.320235 1.668940 2.172944 3.020340 4.593873 8.024326 20.461891
2026-04-12 1.304408 1.660071 2.180846 3.073016 4.780202 8.707983 25.083911
2026-04-19 1.361631 1.761103 2.364709 3.448023 5.687556 11.665268 51.802817
2026-04-26 1.303707 1.687002 2.266713 3.308629 5.467842 11.259733 50.894848
2026-05-03 1.244885 1.610110 2.161971 3.152422 5.200003 10.665487 47.366865
2026-05-10 1.213605 1.574179 2.122103 3.113916 5.194549 10.916952 54.198709